by Chas Bonner
Sustainable Agriculture: Reality or Fiction
Much has been written over the years about sustainability, and it has created more than enough controversy. Rather than argue the merits, we would like to point out the primary arguments of both sides.
Those who deride sustainable agriculture point primarily to the undeveloped world where, in essence, agriculture might be defined as “sustainable” or even organic in that there are few fertilizers, pesticides, or insecticides used. Yields are also a fraction of those in the developed world. Furthermore, because few commercial chemical amendments are available, any amendments that might be used would be disallowed in the developed world---human “night soil” among others. A good example of this problem is Africa which has become a net importer of food, much of it donated by international aid organizations, despite the fact that Africa has huge tracts of arable ground. With more soil and crop amendments, they might be able to feed themselves.
On the other hand, sustainability has become an operative word in the developed world. First, on the demand side there are more and more consumers who want organically grown food, locally produced food, and as few inputs as possible in their food. Typically, this segment of agriculture has been growing at double digit rates for years.
Second, on the production side, there are increasing mandates addressing sustainability. The EPA is beginning to define greenhouse gases as a pollutant. The SEC has declared that climate risk is material to investors. The EPA is reviewing dying ocean plumes around river estuaries such as the Mississippi and Columbia Rivers. There are numerous agencies reviewing rising levels of nitrous oxides in the air, 78% of which is attributed to decomposing fertilizer.
Finally, research points to a continuing increase in caloric inputs to produce each calorie of output. For instance, 17% of all energy use in America surrounds agriculture, food processing, delivery, and disposal.
At Scythe & Spade, we may worry about the implications and cost of sustainable agriculture, but we also see it as a business “megatrend” which probably cannot be derailed, and has a predictable direction. Therefore, our goal is to learn how to operate, how to stay ahead, and how to prosper within any megatrend.
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